Debbie Mucarsel-Powell, the Democratic candidate for Florida’s 26th Congressional District, has surged among likely voters and is statistically tied with her opponent Carlos Curbelo, according to a new poll released this Tuesday by Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Research.
In the survey, which included 500 likely voters, Mucarsel-Powell leads Curbelo by one point, 49-48. It’s the third recent poll that shows how support for the Democrat has grown over the past months, as voters hear her story and the harm Congressman Curbelo has done to South Florida.
Mucarsel-Powell has been aggressively working to show the clear contrast between herself and Curbelo. And it’s working. A recent survey by Public Policy Polling (PPP) showed Mucarsel-Powell leading Curbelo, a two-term congressman, by one point (45-44). Similarly, a recent poll commissioned by the New York Times showed both candidates in a statistical tie.
Below is the poll memo released this Tuesday by Greeberg Quinlan Rosner Research.
October 2, 2018
Close race in Florida’s 26th Congressional District
To: Interested Parties
From: Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Research
A recent survey of likely voters in Florida’s 26th Congressional District1 finds Debbie Mucarsel- Powell in a statistical tie with Carlos Curbelo ( 49 percent Mucarsel-Powell – 48 percent Curbelo).
The political environment is favorable towards a Democrat in this district that Clinton won by 16 percentage points. More than half (53 percent) of voters feel the country has gotten pretty seriously off on the wrong track, and 57 percent have an unfavorable view of President Trump.
As this poll and other polls recently released show, support for Debbie Mucarsel-Powell has grown from the mid-summer.
Just under half (49 percent) of voters recognize Mucarsel-Powell, up from 22 percent in July. Among those who know her, she is seen much more favorably (32 percent favorable – 18 percent unfavorable). Voters like Mucarsel-Powell as they get to know her, and support for her grows. As voters learn more about Carlos Curbelo they become more unfavorable towards him (29 percent unfavorable in July, 40 percent in September). With room to continue introducing herself to voters and her growing level of support, Mucarsel-Powell is in an excellent position to win this race.
“I’ve been working on behalf of my community for over 20 years, and families here can trust I’ll be a genuine voice for them in Washington on the most important issues, like health care, jobs and the environment,” Mucarsel-Powell said. “Residents here know that it’s not enough to say you stand with this community. They’re ready for someone with the courage to truly fight for them.”
Curbelo, who is one of the most vulnerable House Republicans in the country, has tried to paint himself as a moderate in Congress. But his record that is anything but moderate. Here are just a few of Curbelo’s lowlights:
- Voted 10 times to repeal the Affordable Care Act, including for the most recent repeal legislation that would have imposed what the AARP calls an “age tax” on older Americans;
- Helped write and later voted to pass the GOP tax scam that has been widely described as a tax handout for wealthy corporations and billionaires, and could personally enrich Curbelo’s family by up to $100,000;
- Took over $100,000 from the fossil fuel industry and voted with his party to protect subsidies for oil companies and to kill federal, state and local safeguards preventing polluters from dumping pesticide waste directly into our water supply;
- Has an embarrassing 23% score from the League of Conservation Voters, one of the nation’s most respected environmental advocacy organizations, for his terrible record on the environment;
- Infamously called Medicare and Social Security a “Ponzi Scheme” and supports Republican efforts to take away benefits seniors have earned through a lifetime of work;
- Defended Rick Scott’s mishandling of the debris removal contracts in the Florida Keys, which has been widely criticized and is now under investigation. He then attended a D.C. fundraiser for Scott’s senatorial campaign the very same week.